The French Minister of the Economy, Bruno Le Mairerecognized that there is uncertainty about whether any of the two motions of no confidence that are going to be debated this afternoon and that could topple the government of the president, Emmanuel Macron, and his controversial pension reform.
“You have to be humble in front of a vote,” Le Maire pointed out this morning in an interview with the channel bfmtvin which he admitted “uncertainty” about the outcome of the vote in these motions of censure, which will be processed starting at 4:00 p.m. local time (3:00 p.m. GMT) in the National Assembly.
The key to that vote will be what the deputies of the classic right-wing party will do, The Republicans (LR), who are divided between the leadership, which opposes censorship, and an indeterminate group of rebels, which is in favor of overthrow of the Macron Executive and pension reform.
Several of them, like Aurélien Pradié and Maxime Minotindicated this morning that they will support at least the motion of censure formalized by a small group centrist, LIOT (Freedoms, Independents, Overseas and Territories), which is known above all that it will have the support of the deputies of the coalition of left NUPES and of the extreme right of Marine LePen.
Minot has stated, in an interview with the channel French 2who is aware that “a good ten, and even a fortnight” of LR deputies will support LIOT’s motion of no confidence.
In principle, it would take thirty to overthrow the governmentwith which the most probable result is that the cabinet of the prime minister, Elisabeth Bornesurvive, and consequently also survive the pension reformwhich was adopted by decree last Thursday.
The Government then resorted to a constitutional device (the article 49.3) to skip the vote in the Assembly, as he feared he would not get enough votes.
Le Maire has once again justified this reform this morning -which plans to delay the minimum retirement age from 62 to 64 years- to balance the pension system on the horizon of 2030, and has done so by insisting that France has a public debt three trillion euros and it is time to “restore public accounts”.
“We have entered a new financial era in which interest rates are higher” and this has already translated into an increase in the debt burden, which has gone from 20,000 million euros in 2021 to 30,000 in 2022, he indicated. .
The debate on the motions of censure will take place under the pressure from a series of strikes in transport, in refineries or in education, and protests such as roadblocks this morning in the vicinity of Rennes or of Lorientin Brittany.
In the air, because of the air traffic controller strikes 30% of the flights have been canceled at the Parisian airport of Orly and 20% at that of Marseille.
They have canceled 20% of high-speed trains (TGV), 40% of the other long-distance trains, a third of the regional ones and in the vicinity of Paris, depending on the lines, between one and two thirds.
(With information from EFE)
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