What will be the attendance level for the first round? Will the presidential results be repeated? Some of the questions that reflect the pulse of the French legislatures, marked by great uncertainty about the result, after a campaign that once again repeated the apathetic climate of French society.
The president of the Republic, Emmanuel Macronwho renewed his position just two months ago, this new election was put on his shoulder again. Crucially, next Sunday’s elections must cover the 577 seats in the National Assembly, for which 6,293 people are running.
In the move to seek support, the head of state calls for the mobilization of his electorate and hits hard mainly at Jean-Luc Mélenchonwhen abstention seems high and the campaign lacks momentum.
In the final stretch, French interest in the stake fell 7 points in a week to reach 44% in the OpinionWay-Kea Partners barometer for the daily The echoes. At this stage, participation is estimated at 45%, leaving the threat of a new low after 48.7% in 2017. these predictions, forced the president’s “Ensemble” coalition to fight to try to achieve an absolute majority in the Assembly that allows it to advance in its promises for the five-year period that has just begun.
Macron’s party faces the unified left, “NUPES” (made up of the left-wing party La France Insoumise, the Greens, the Communist Party and the Socialist Party), led by Jean-Luc Mélenchonwith disputed forecasts and the idea that has been fading that if the left wins, it could request the position of prime minister from the government of the Republic.
The majority needs 289 deputies, out of 577. But according to the projections of OpinionWaand, the official party and its allies would obtain between 290 and 330 seats. But more than six in ten respondents (61%) want “Emmanuel Macron not to have a majority.” And they are only 46% to think that he will have it, that is, 5 points less in a week.
Facing possible adverse outcomes, the tenant of the Elysée Palace toughened his speech in the face of the threats represented by the triumph of his two main competitors -especially the NUPES and the National Rally (RN) of Marine Le Pen, whom he did not mention, accusing them of “adding crisis to crisis”.
Macron promptly reproaches both his alliance with Russia, especially with Vladimir Putin, his euroscepticism, his proposals without financial support, the repeated questioning to limit freedom of the press and greater regulation by the State of companies.
All the proselytizing actions of the left, they were an opportunity for the united alliance “NUPES” to insist on the idea of snatching Matignon -improbable but cleverly pounded by Jean-Luc Mélenchon-, that is to say the position of prime minister.
For this first round, the intentions to vote in favor of the ruling candidates reach 28% at the national level. An increase of 1 point in a week and 2 points in a fortnight that allows them to reach a maximum from the first measurements. On the contrary, despite a drop of 1 point in one week, linked to the low estimated participation, the left alliance seems to produce a good rating among voters. Today they could get 190 voters, when they had started at 135.
From the National GroupMarine Le Pen’s far-right party, is in decline, especially for not convincing its adherents. He lost 5 points in voting intentions, to 18%, and seems to be able to obtain, at this moment, only 13 to 33 seats.
Those who are eligible to vote abroad have already passed the first round, with the vote taking place last weekend. Eleven seats in the National Assembly are at stake. The participation abroad was only 22.5 percent, in the first round the presidential party was ahead of the united left.
Von der Leyen, on the International Day Against Homophobia, Biphobia and Transphobia: “The EU must be a place where you can be who you are and love who you want”
Pope Francis: “Those who have the power to stop the war, listen to the cry of peace”