The high inflation and fears about the health of the democracy weighed heavily on American voters in the midterm elections, where those who were – and perhaps are – rivals for the White House, Joe Biden Y donald trumpcast a shadow, as it picks up AP VoteCast.
The survey shows a country in trouble at a time when the control of congress -and the choice between very contrasting visions of the United States– hang in the balance. Much of the country is mired in pessimism about the America’s future and his political leadership, with lingering tensions in how people feel about the current president and his predecessor determining elections at the ballot box.
The detailed portrait of the US electorate is based on the preliminary results of VoteCastan extensive survey of more than 90,000 voters from all over the country made for Associated Press by NORC in the University of Chicago.
About half of the voters they say that the inflation has significantly influenced his decision, as the prices of food, gasoline, housing and other expenses have skyrocketed in the last year, giving Republicans a vehicle to criticize Biden.
The economy was one of the main concerns of the voters, of whom 8 out of 10 They said it was in bad shape, since the inflationclose to the maximum of 40 years ago, has raised fears of a recession. Voters are divided on whether Biden’s policies caused the price increase, or whether it was factors beyond his control, such as the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
A slightly lower number of voters – 44% – say that the future of the democracy It was his main consideration. On the campaign trail, Biden warned that Republicans pose a threat to democracy.
Many leaders of Republican Party continue to question the United States electoral systemfalsely claiming that the 2020 presidential election, which Trump lost, was rigged.
However, the movementMake America Great Again” triggered by Trump appears to have tightened his grip on Republicans. Nearly two-thirds of voters in the Republican Party they say they support the movement MAGAa sign of potential blockage with the White House of Biden if Republicans win a majority in the House or Senate.
Republicans have the voter discontent with inflation, crime and immigration to help them take control of both houses of the Congress. Biden and his fellow Democrats have argued that the american middle class is poised for a renaissance thanks to its investments in infrastructure, computer chip production and clean energy projects.
Voters in both parties see inflation and the fate of democracy as important. However, Republicans are more likely to rank the economy as the main factor in their vote, while Democrats are more likely to prioritize the future of democracy.
Voters have become increasingly demoralized as political divisions of the country have hardened. Roughly three-quarters say the country is headed in the wrong direction. That figure is higher than in the survey of VoteCast made to voters in 2020, at the height of the coronavirus pandemic.
Two years ago, the pandemic COVID-19 was considered the country’s main problem; now only 2% of voters name it as the top priority, as other issues have taken center stage.
Biden’s election was due in part to the view that the pandemic was out of control under the leadership of Trump, as VoteCast showed. Most voters said they thought he “cares about people like them.” A smaller percentage of 2022 voters say the same.
Even Democrats have doubts about Bidenwho has said that he intends to run for the re-election in 2024. Nearly a third of voters for Democratic congressional candidates say they Biden is not a strong leader. One in five Democrats say he lacks the mental capacity to serve effectively as president. And about 3 in 10 disapprove of his economic leadership.
The 2020 presidential election still looms over these congressional, state, and local elections. Nearly two-thirds of Democratic voters said they voted to show their opposition to Trump, while about 7 out of 10 voters Republicans said their votes were to challenge Biden.
Inflation has been a clear blow to the well-being of many Americans. A third of voters describe their families as falling behind financially. That’s nearly double the percentage of the electorate who said the same thing two years ago.
Nearly half of suburban voters backed Democrats nationally, slightly less than in 2020 and 2018. Democrats continue to do better with women, while men are more likely to prefer Republicans. Voters under 45 tend to favor Democrats; older voters generally lean Republican.
Facing economic headwinds, Biden and many Democratic candidates sought to tap into their base’s outrage after the Supreme Court struck down abortion protections in Roe v. Wade, the 1973 decision that enshrines the right to abortion. Overall, 7 in 10 voters say the ruling was a major factor in their midterm decisions.
(With information from The Associated Press)
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