Poland’s opposition leader said three opposition parties have enough votes to win Sunday’s election, after one agency projected they had the votes to unseat the ruling conservative party.
According to the pollster Ipsos, the opposition parties together they probably have 248 seats in the lower house, called Sejm, which has 460 seats. He conservative party currently in powerLaw and Justice, would have 200 seats, according to projections. The far-right Confederation party would have 12.
Meanwhile, opposition leader Donald Tusk said the opposition coalition had enough votes to win the election.
“I am the happiest man in the world,” declared Tusk. “Democracy has won, Poland has won”.
Law and Justice leader Jaroslaw Kaczynski acknowledged that there were uncertainty around the results.
At party headquarters, Kaczynski told supporters that his organization’s result, projected at nearly 37 percent, was a big success but probably not enough to stay in power.
“The question before us now is whether this success can become another term for our government, and we don’t know that yet. But we have to have hope and we must know that, whether in the government or in the opposition, we will implement this project in different ways.”said Kaczynski.
The exit poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Three opposition parties – Civic Coalition, Tercer Camino and Nueva Izquierda – competed on different boards but with the same promises to dismiss Law and Justice and restore good relations with the European Union.
The votes were still being counted and the Electoral Council says it expects to have the final results by Tuesday morning.
Many Poles consider this the most important election since 1989, when communism collapsed and a new democratic era began.. What is at stake is the country’s constitutional order, the official position on LGBTQ+ rights and abortion, and international alliances in a country that has been a crucial ally of Ukraine after the Russian invasion.
Law and Justice has eliminated many obstacles to its political power to gain more control over state institutions such as the courts, the media, and the electoral process itself.
Support for the party has declined since the last election in 2019 amid high inflation, corruption allegations and disputes with other European countries.. Law and Justice obtained almost 44% of the votes in 2019, but in recent weeks it has a support of just over 30% in the polls.
Others accuse Law and Justice of mismanaging the economy, denouncing that the high level of public spending has fueled inflation.
There is also a high participation of the State in the Polish economy, and the ruling party has set up a system of patronage, giving jobs and contracts to its followers.
The EU, whose funding helped greatly in the economic transformation, is now withholding funds designated for Poland on the grounds that the government there is undermining democratic rights.
(with information from AP)